Bromocyclopropane

Market Intelligence on Cyclopropyl BromideI. Price Trends1. **Domestic Market**: Over the past week, the mainstream transaction price of cyclopropyl bromide has fluctuated in the range of 28,000–30,000 CNY/ton, representing an increase of approximately 3% compared to the same period last week. In some regions, prices have risen to 30,500 CNY/ton due to increased transportation costs.2. **International Market**: In Europe and the US, the price of cyclopropyl bromide stands at USD 4,200–4,500/ton, up 5% from the previous month. In the Asian market (excluding China), prices range from USD 3,800–4,000/ton, with minimal fluctuations.II. Supply and Demand1. **Supply Side** - The operating rate of major domestic producers remains at 75%–80%. Some enterprises have temporarily suspended production for equipment maintenance, resulting in an approximate 10% reduction in market supply. - On the import side, affected by tight international logistics, import volumes have decreased by 15% month-on-month, with port arrival times delayed by 3–5 days.2. **Demand Side** - Demand from the downstream pharmaceutical intermediate industry remains stable, accounting for 60% of total procurement. There are no new capacity additions recently, and demand is growing according to plan. - Demand from the pesticide intermediate industry has increased by 8%, as companies are stocking up in advance ahead of the spring pesticide production peak season. - Demand from other industries (such as materials science) accounts for 15% and shows little fluctuation.III. Cost Factors1. The price of the raw material cyclopropane rose by 5% this week, primarily due to fluctuations in international crude oil prices and production limits by upstream suppliers, driving up the production cost of cyclopropyl bromide.2. Energy costs (electricity and steam) have increased by 3% due to seasonal factors, further compressing the profit margins of production enterprises.IV. Policy and Environmental Impact1. Domestic environmental protection policies have become stricter. Some small enterprises that do not meet emission standards have been shut down for rectification, leading to increased market concentration and enhanced bargaining power for large enterprises.2. Adjustments to the export tax rebate policy have not directly affected cyclopropyl bromide exports. However, risks of international trade friction remain, causing enterprises to arrange export orders cautiously.V. Analysis and Judgment1. **Short Term**: Driven by reduced supply and rising costs, cyclopropyl bromide prices still have room for increase, with an expected rise of 2%–3%.2. **Medium Term**: As downstream pesticide industry stocking is completed, demand growth may slow down. However, since it will take time for the supply side to recover, prices are expected to remain at high levels with fluctuations.3. **Long Term**: If the tight situation in international logistics eases and import volumes increase, or if new domestic capacity is brought online, prices may face downward pressure.VI. Forecasts1. **Prices**: Over the next two weeks, domestic market prices are expected to break through 31,000 CNY/ton, while international market prices may rise to USD 4,600/ton.2. **Supply and Demand**: The supply side is expected to gradually recover in 15–20 days. Demand from the pesticide industry is expected to continue until mid-April, after which it may decline.3. **Risks**: Attention should be paid to the impact of international crude oil price fluctuations, the intensity of environmental policy enforcement, and changes in the international trade landscape on the market.