1,3-Dichloropropene

Market Dynamics Intelligence for 1,3-Dichloropropene (Recent Commodity Market Report)

I. Price Trends
- Recent Price Range: In July 2026, the market price of 1,3-dichloropropene fluctuated between RMB 6,300 and RMB 7,800 per metric ton. Specifically, on July 14, 2026, the quotation for chloropropene (purity ≥95%) in Hubei Province stood at RMB 6,300/ton; Shandong Province quoted RMB 6,800/ton; Jiangsu Province quoted RMB 7,500/ton; and Zhejiang Province offered a national standard grade (99.9% purity) product at RMB 6,300/ton. On July 16, some enterprises in Shandong adjusted their quotations upward—Shandong Zhihengda Import & Export Co., Ltd. raised its price to RMB 7,800/ton.
- Price Trend: Since July 2026, 1,3-dichloropropene prices have exhibited a volatile upward trend. The average monthly price for July was RMB 6,976/ton, with a low of RMB 6,300/ton and a high of RMB 8,450/ton. Compared with 2025, prices have rebounded: the 2025 export average price was RMB 9,434.96/ton, rising further to RMB 10,442.61/ton during January–March 2026.

II. Cost Factors
- Propylene Price: Propylene—the primary raw material for 1,3-dichloropropene—directly influences production costs. As of July 2, 2026, the benchmark propylene price stood at RMB 7,811/ton, reflecting a cumulative monthly increase of 5.40%, confirming a short-term upward trend. This sharp rise in propylene prices has significantly increased production costs for 1,3-dichloropropene, thereby strengthening manufacturers’ willingness to raise prices.

III. Supply–Demand Relationship
- Supply Situation: Supply of 1,3-dichloropropene is influenced by production capacity, output levels, and enterprise pricing strategies. Recently, certain producers have adjusted quotations in response to market conditions, demonstrating flexibility on the supply side.
- Demand Situation: Primary end-user sectors for 1,3-dichloropropene include agrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, and polymer materials. With expanding global agricultural production and rising pesticide usage—especially in developing countries—demand from the agrochemical sector continues to grow steadily. Moreover, the emergence of new markets—including those in Asia and Latin America—is playing a key role in driving global demand growth.

IV. Policy and Environmental Regulations
- Environmental Requirements: As China advances its “Dual Carbon” (carbon peak and carbon neutrality) strategy and strengthens environmental standards, the 1,3-dichloropropene industry is progressively shifting toward greener operations. Enterprises are upgrading equipment and optimizing processes to reduce pollutant emissions; leading firms such as Binzhou Chemical Group Co., Ltd. have already achieved resource utilization of by-products.
- Policy Developments: Stricter environmental regulation or adjustments to export tax rebate policies could affect production and export strategies. However, no major policy changes have occurred to date.

Analysis and Assessment

I. Cost-Driven Price Increases
The robust upward momentum in propylene prices exerts substantial cost pressure on 1,3-dichloropropene production, compelling manufacturers to raise prices to safeguard profitability. Consequently, in the near term, 1,3-dichloropropene prices will continue to trend upward—albeit with volatility—driven primarily by raw material costs.

II. Supply–Demand Fundamentals Supporting Prices
Global agricultural expansion and the rise of emerging markets sustain growing demand for 1,3-dichloropropene. While supply-side flexibility exists, overall capacity expansion remains limited and cannot rapidly accommodate surging demand. Thus, the supply–demand balance will continue to provide underlying support for prices.

III. Accelerated Green Transformation
Under increasing environmental policy impetus, the 1,3-dichloropropene industry is accelerating its green transition. Companies are intensifying investments in environmental protection and technological innovation to promote sustainable development. Such green transformation enhances industry reputation and competitiveness—but may also elevate production costs.

Outlook

I. Short-Term Price Outlook
In the near term, 1,3-dichloropropene prices will remain under upward pressure from rising propylene costs, exhibiting a volatile uptrend. However, the pace of increases may be constrained by downstream buyers’ price acceptance thresholds. Enterprises must closely monitor real-time market developments and adjust pricing strategies accordingly.

II. Medium- to Long-Term Price Outlook
As supply–demand equilibrium gradually adjusts and the industry advances toward greener, higher-value-added production models, 1,3-dichloropropene prices are expected to stabilize. The full-year average price is projected to remain within the range of RMB 6,500–7,500/ton. Influenced by raw material price fluctuations and seasonal demand patterns, temporary price peaks may occur during Q3.

III. Industry Development Trends
Over the next five years, the 1,3-dichloropropene industry is anticipated to maintain steady growth. Technological progress and declining production costs will further enhance market competitiveness. Meanwhile, green transformation and the development of high-value-added products will become pivotal strategic directions. Enterprises should proactively respond to evolving market dynamics by intensifying investment in technological innovation and environmental sustainability initiatives to foster long-term, sustainable industry development.