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China and India are the leading exporters of 2,4-Dichlorotoluene (CAS 95-73-8), collectively accounting for over 60% of global export value in 2023–2024, while the United States, Germany, and South Korea represent the largest importers. Import demand in North America and Western Europe has remained stable amid modest fluctuations in 2,4-Dichlorotoluene prices, with no significant shift in supplier concentration observed over the past two years.
Recent Market Dynamics Intelligence
1. Price Trends
- Domestic Market: The price of 2,4-dichlorotoluene has recently shown a narrow fluctuation pattern. The mainstream transaction price in the East China region ranges from 7,500 to 7,800 RMB/ton. While some traders quote slightly higher prices, there is room for negotiation in actual transactions. In the South China region, prices range from 7,600 to 7,900 RMB/ton. The price difference between the East and South China regions is minimal, and the overall market price remains relatively stable.
- International Market: In Asia, the price in the Indian market, influenced by local demand and exchange rates, is quoted at 1,050–1,100 USD/ton (CFR India). Prices in Southeast Asia range from 1,030 to 1,080 USD/ton (CFR Southeast Asia). Recently, international price fluctuations have been minor, with the overall market remaining stable.
2. Supply Situation
- Domestic Production: The operating rate of domestic production enterprises remains stable, with most maintaining normal production rhythms and ensuring sufficient market supply. Although some enterprises have scheduled regular maintenance, it has not significantly impacted overall supply.
- Imports: Import volumes have remained stable recently, primarily sourced from countries such as Japan and South Korea. Imported products account for a small share of the domestic market, exerting limited influence on domestic prices.
3. Demand Situation
- Downstream Industries: Demand performance has been moderate. The pesticide industry is the primary consumer of 2,4-dichlorotoluene; however, during this traditional off-season, demand for 2,4-dichlorotoluene has decreased. Demand in the dye industry is also lackluster, with enterprises purchasing on an as-needed basis to maintain normal production inventory.
- Export Demand: International demand for 2,4-dichlorotoluene has not shown significant growth recently, and export order volumes remain largely unchanged compared to previous periods.
4. Cost Factors
- Key Raw Materials: The price of toluene, a primary raw material, has shown minimal fluctuation recently, providing limited cost support for 2,4-dichlorotoluene. Chlorine gas prices have experienced some volatility due to market supply and demand dynamics, but overall cost changes have been modest, keeping production costs relatively stable for enterprises.
Analysis and Judgment
1. Reasons for Price Fluctuations: The recent narrow fluctuation in 2,4-dichlorotoluene prices is primarily driven by supply and demand dynamics. On the supply side, stability prevails, while the demand side is in an off-season, leading to low purchasing enthusiasm among downstream industries and reduced market transaction activity, thereby lacking upward price momentum. Additionally, stable cost conditions further constrain price movements.
2. Market Supply-Demand Balance: The market is currently in a state of relative supply-demand balance. Supply is sufficient to meet demand; however, weak demand growth has led to some inventory accumulation. Nevertheless, the situation has not yet reached a level of severe oversupply.
Forecast
1. Short-Term Forecast (1–2 Weeks): The price of 2,4-dichlorotoluene is expected to continue its narrow fluctuation pattern, remaining near current levels. Supply is projected to remain stable with ample market availability. Demand is unlikely to improve significantly in the short term, with downstream industries continuing to purchase on an as-needed basis.
2. Medium-Term Forecast (1–3 Months): As the pesticide industry enters its traditional peak season, demand for 2,4-dichlorotoluene is expected to gradually increase, potentially enhancing market transaction activity and leading to a slight price increase. However, the magnitude of any price rise will be constrained by the release of production capacity on the supply side and import volumes. If supply increases synchronously, the extent of price growth will be limited.
3. Long-Term Forecast (3–6 Months and Beyond): In the long term, the price trend of 2,4-dichlorotoluene will depend on macroeconomic conditions, the development of downstream industries, and environmental policies. If the macroeconomy strengthens and downstream demand continues to grow, while environmental policies constrain production, leading to reduced supply, prices are likely to rise steadily. Conversely, if demand growth remains sluggish and supply exceeds demand, prices may face downward pressure.
2,4-Dichlorotoluene is a colorless to pale yellow liquid with a chlorinated aromatic odor and moderate volatility; it has a boiling point of approximately 215–217 °C and a melting point near –15 °C. It is an aromatic organochlorine compound classified as a substituted toluene and widely used as a chemical intermediate. Its primary industrial application is in the synthesis of agrochemicals—particularly herbicides and fungicides—as well as dyes, pigments, and specialty organic compounds. It serves as a key building block in the production of substituted anilines, triazoles, and other heterocyclic derivatives for use in crop protection formulations and functional materials.
High boiling solvent, intermediate for organic synthesis dichlorotoluene.
This chemical is included in Fine Chemicals. See more about what is 2,4-Dichlorotoluene and 2,4-Dichlorotoluene SDS information.
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