2,4-Difluoroaniline

Recent Market Dynamics Intelligence
1. Price Trends
- Domestic Market: Over the past week, the price of 2,4-difluoroaniline has shown a slight upward fluctuation. The mainstream price in the East China region increased from 32,000 RMB/ton to 32,500 RMB/ton, representing a rise of approximately 1.56%; the price in the South China region rose from 32,200 RMB/ton to 32,700 RMB/ton, an increase of about 1.55%.
- International Market: In Asia, the FOB Korea price stands at USD 4,200–4,300/ton, up by approximately USD 50 from the previous week; in Europe, the CIF Rotterdam price is EUR 4,500–4,600/ton, with a slight increase of EUR 30–50.
2. Supply Situation
- Domestic production enterprises maintain a stable operating rate of 75%–80%. Although some enterprises have slightly reduced output due to routine equipment maintenance, no significant supply shortage has emerged overall.
- On the import front, the number of arriving vessels has increased recently, with import volumes up by approximately 10% compared to the previous week, thereby partially replenishing the domestic market supply.
3. Demand Situation
- The downstream pesticide industry has entered its peak production season, leading to increased demand for 2,4-difluoroaniline. Some pesticide companies have expanded their procurement to meet order requirements, with purchasing volumes rising by approximately 15% week-on-week.
- Demand in the pharmaceutical intermediates sector remains stable, with purchases proceeding according to plan and no significant fluctuations observed.
4. Cost Factors
- The price of the key raw material hydrogen fluoride has remained relatively stable recently, holding at 9,000–9,500 RMB/ton; aniline prices have seen a slight increase, rising from 8,500 RMB/ton to 8,700 RMB/ton, providing some support to the cost of 2,4-difluoroaniline.

Analysis and Assessment
1. Reasons for Price Increase
- On the demand side, the surge in demand from the pesticide industry during its peak season is the primary driver of the price rise. Downstream enterprises have actively procured raw materials to ensure production, boosting market transactions and pushing prices higher.
- On the cost side, the slight increase in aniline prices has raised production costs, prompting enterprises to moderately adjust product prices upward to maintain profit margins.
2. Factors Contributing to Supply Stability
- The stable operating rates of domestic production enterprises mean that, despite some equipment maintenance, the overall impact on output is minimal. Additionally, the increase in import volumes has supplemented market supply, preventing any tight supply situation.

Forecast
1. Short Term (1–2 Weeks)
- Prices are expected to remain stable with a slight upward trend. Continued strong demand from the pesticide industry will support prices, while stable raw material prices will have limited impact. However, given the relatively ample market supply, the magnitude of the increase may be limited. The price in the East China region is expected to fluctuate between 32,500 and 33,000 RMB/ton.
2. Medium Term (1–2 Months)
- If demand from the pesticide industry remains strong and raw material prices show no significant fluctuations, prices are likely to continue a gradual upward trend. However, changes in import volumes should be monitored, as a substantial increase in imports could dampen the pace of price rises. The price is projected to fall within the range of 33,000–33,500 RMB/ton.
3. Long Term (3–6 Months)
- The long-term trend will depend on the overall development of downstream industries. If the pesticide industry enters its off-season and demand declines, prices may fall; conversely, if new growth points emerge in the pharmaceutical intermediates sector, they will provide certain support to prices. Overall, the price fluctuation range is expected to be between 32,000 and 34,000 RMB/ton.