Trichloroethylene

Trichloroethylene Market Dynamics Intelligence, Analysis, and Forecast

I. Market Dynamics Intelligence
(A) Price Information
1. East China Market: As of July 27, 2026, the mainstream reference price for trichloroethylene in the East China market stood at RMB 4,900 per metric ton. Prices remained stable week-on-week, reflecting an evident oversupply situation; inventory-holding traders dominated market transactions, adopting price-reduction strategies to facilitate sales.
2. Regional Quotations
- Shandong Province:
- Shandong Yushuo Chemical Co., Ltd.: Inner Mongolia Dakang brand, delivery location—Jinan City, Shandong Province; quoted at RMB 4,200/ton (99.99% purity) on July 28, 2026; Shandong Binhua brand quoted at RMB 5,000/ton (99.99% purity).
- Shandong Hanyue Chemical Co., Ltd.: Inner Mongolia Dakang brand, delivery location—Jinan City, Shandong Province; quoted at RMB 5,400/ton (99.99% purity) on July 27, 2026; Shandong Binhua brand also quoted at RMB 5,400/ton (99.99% purity).
- Shandong Zhuoyu Chemical Co., Ltd.: Shandong Binhua brand, delivery location—Shandong Province; quoted at RMB 4,700/ton (multiple batch quotations) from July 27–28, 2026.
- Qingdao Shengze Chemical Co., Ltd.: offering both Shandong Binhua and Inner Mongolia Dakang brands, delivery location—Shandong Province; quoted at RMB 4,700/ton from July 27–28, 2026.
- Shandong Yuanhe Xingsheng Chemical Trading Co., Ltd.: Inner Mongolia Dakang brand, delivery location—Jinan City, Shandong Province; quoted at RMB 5,800/ton on July 28, 2026 (packaged in new galvanized drums, 280 kg per drum, 99% purity).
- Jiangsu Province:
- Nanjing Runsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd.: offering Shandong and Inner Mongolia Dakang brands, delivery location—Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province; quoted at RMB 6,100/ton from July 27–28, 2026.
- Suzhou Senfeida Chemical Co., Ltd.: domestic product, delivery location—Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province; quoted at RMB 9,500/ton (99.99% purity) on July 27, 2026.
- Zhejiang Province: Aitai (Zhejiang) Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd.: Inner Mongolia Dakang and Shandong Binhua brands, delivery location—Zhejiang Province; quoted at RMB 3,400/ton and RMB 3,600/ton respectively in July 2026.
- Guangdong Province: Guangzhou Tianyue Chemical Co., Ltd.: Inner Mongolia Dakang and Guizhou Lantian brands, delivery location—Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province; quoted at RMB 5,000/ton and RMB 4,000/ton respectively on July 27, 2026.
- Other Regions: Shanghai Shijian Industrial Co., Ltd.: Shandong brand, delivery location—Shanghai Municipality; quoted at RMB 7,500/ton in July 2026.

(B) Supply-Demand Situation
1. Supply Side: In 2024, China’s trichloroethylene production capacity totaled 390,000 metric tons, unchanged year-on-year; output amounted to 233,800 metric tons, down 1.18% YoY; industry-wide operating rate was 59.95%, indicating ample capacity supply. Future capacity is expected to remain stable, influenced by the quota-based production system for the third-generation refrigerant R134a—which commenced in 2024 and relies on trichloroethylene as a key raw material.
2. Demand Side: Primary applications of trichloroethylene include chemical synthesis, metal cleaning, and use as a solvent. Its most significant domestic downstream application is as a chemical intermediate for producing the third-generation refrigerant R134a. In 2024, China’s apparent consumption of trichloroethylene reached 207,400 metric tons, down 3.62% YoY; overall supply-demand balance remained relatively stable.

II. Analysis and Judgment
(A) Causes of Price Disparities
1. Brand and Quality: Variations in purity, impurity content, and other quality attributes among different brands result in corresponding price differences. For instance, Suzhou Senfeida Chemical Co., Ltd.’s domestic product (99.99% purity) was quoted at RMB 9,500/ton—significantly higher than prices for certain competing brands.
2. Regional Differences: Localized supply-demand conditions and transportation costs contribute to regional price variations. Higher quotations observed in Jiangsu and Shanghai may reflect localized demand strength, freight expenses, and seller-specific pricing strategies.
3. Supply-Demand Impact: The current pronounced oversupply scenario has led inventory-holding traders to adopt discount-driven sales strategies, thereby suppressing overall price levels. For example, the East China market price remained stable at RMB 4,900/ton with no weekly fluctuation, underscoring abundant supply and relatively weak demand.

(B) Industry Development Trend Impacts
1. Policy Orientation: The “14th Five-Year Plan” and related policy frameworks encourage chemical enterprises to transition toward green, circular, fine, and efficient development models, raising expectations for R&D capabilities. The trichloroethylene industry faces mounting pressure to pursue automation, cleaner production, and sustainable development—requiring increased investment in environmental protection, safety management, inspection systems, and production technology upgrades, potentially influencing production costs and final product pricing.
2. Downstream Industry Impact: The implementation of quota-based production for the downstream third-generation refrigerant R134a directly affects trichloroethylene demand. Given that R134a manufacturing constitutes trichloroethylene’s primary domestic end-use, policy shifts and demand fluctuations within the downstream sector inevitably influence trichloroethylene’s supply-demand dynamics and price trajectory.

III. Forecast
(A) Short-Term Outlook (1–2 months)
1. Price Trend: Trichloroethylene prices are expected to remain range-bound at relatively low levels over the near term. The prevailing oversupply condition is unlikely to reverse quickly, and inventory-holding traders will likely sustain price-cutting measures to accelerate sales—leaving little upward momentum for prices.
2. Supply-Demand Balance: On the supply side, stable capacity and steady output suggest continued market abundance. On the demand side, downstream demand remains broadly stable but is unlikely to surge significantly in the short term; overall demand is projected to remain flat.

(B) Long-Term Outlook (6 months–1 year)
1. Price Trend: Over the longer term, trichloroethylene prices will likely be shaped by multiple interrelated factors. Should downstream demand expand or industry capacity contract due to regulatory adjustments or tightening environmental standards, prices could rebound. Conversely, if supply-demand imbalances intensify, prices may persist at depressed levels.
2. Industry Development Trends: Advancing technological innovation and increasingly stringent environmental requirements will accelerate the trichloroethylene industry’s shift toward greener, more efficient, and sustainable operations. Enterprises will place greater emphasis on technological R&D and product upgrading to enhance quality, functionality, and value-added attributes—aligning with evolving market needs and regulatory mandates. Concurrently, industry consolidation is anticipated to accelerate, with smaller-scale, technologically outdated producers gradually exiting the market, leading to improved market concentration.