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China and India are the leading exporters of 4-(2-Butyl)phenol (CAS 99-71-8), accounting for the majority of global shipments in recent years, while the United States, Germany, and South Korea represent the largest importers. Import volumes into the U.S. and EU have remained relatively stable since 2022, with modest quarterly fluctuations correlating with shifts in 4-(2-Butyl)phenol prices and downstream demand in polymer and agrochemical manufacturing.
Recent Commodity Market Dynamics Intelligence
1. **Price Trends**
- Over the past week, the domestic market price of 4-tert-butylphenol exhibited a slight upward fluctuation. The mainstream market price rose from 12,500–13,000 RMB/ton at the beginning of last week to 12,800–13,300 RMB/ton at the beginning of this week, representing an increase of approximately 2.4%–3.1%.
- In the international market, prices for 4-tert-butylphenol in the Asian region also saw an uptick. The FOB Korea price increased from 1,650–1,700 USD/ton last week to 1,680–1,730 USD/ton this week.
2. **Supply Situation**
- Domestic production facilities are operating stably, with utilization rates maintained at approximately 75%–80%. However, reports indicate that a major producer plans to undergo a shutdown for maintenance next week, lasting about 10 days, which is expected to reduce market supply by approximately 800–1,000 tons.
- On the import front, the volume of arriving shipments has decreased recently, primarily due to tight international shipping conditions and production restrictions in some exporting countries. Imports this month are expected to decline by 15%–20% compared to last month.
3. **Demand Situation**
- Downstream industry demand has remained relatively stable. In the rubber antioxidant sector, as the tire and rubber products industry gradually enters the traditional production peak season, demand for 4-tert-butylphenol as a key raw material has increased to some extent, with some enterprises increasing their procurement volumes by 10%–15% compared to the previous week.
- In the pharmaceutical intermediate sector, demand remains stable. However, due to environmental policies, some small pharmaceutical enterprises face production restrictions, limiting the overall incremental demand for 4-tert-butylphenol.
4. **Cost Factors**
- The price of the main raw material, phenol, has continued to rise recently, with an increase of 5%–7% over the past two weeks. This has increased the production costs for 4-tert-butylphenol, providing certain support to market prices.
- Regarding energy costs, prices for coal, natural gas, and others have shown minimal fluctuation, resulting in limited impact on production costs.
Analysis and Judgment
1. **Supply Side**: The shutdown for maintenance by domestic producers and the decline in imports will lead to reduced market supply. Given that demand remains stable or slightly increases, the supply tightness may intensify, driving prices higher.
2. **Demand Side**: Increased demand from the downstream rubber antioxidant industry provides certain support to the market. However, limited demand growth in the pharmaceutical intermediate sector means that overall demand growth will not be substantial.
3. **Cost Side**: The rise in phenol prices has increased costs, prompting producers to raise product prices to maintain profit margins.
Forecast
1. **Short-term (1–2 weeks)**: Influenced by reduced supply and rising costs, the market price of 4-tert-butylphenol is expected to continue rising slightly. The mainstream market price is projected to reach 13,000–13,500 RMB/ton, while the international FOB Korea price is expected to rise to 1,700–1,750 USD/ton.
2. **Medium-term (1–2 months)**: If domestic producers resume normal operations after maintenance and imports recover, the supply tightness will ease, potentially narrowing the price increase. Prices may fluctuate around current high levels.
3. **Long-term (3–6 months)**: Attention should be paid to changes in downstream industry demand and the price trend of phenol. If downstream demand continues to grow and raw material prices remain high, 4-tert-butylphenol prices are likely to remain at elevated levels. Conversely, if demand falls short of expectations or raw material prices decline, market prices may face downward pressure.
4-(2-Butyl)phenol is a white to pale yellow crystalline solid at room temperature, with a mild phenolic odor and moderate volatility; it has a melting point of approximately 50–52 °C and a boiling point near 250 °C. It is classified as a substituted aromatic compound and serves primarily as a chemical intermediate in organic synthesis. Its principal industrial use is in the production of antioxidants—particularly hindered phenolic antioxidants such as butylated hydroxytoluene (BHT) analogs—and as a precursor in the synthesis of surfactants and polymer stabilizers. Typical application areas include plastics, rubber, lubricants, and fuel additives, where it contributes to oxidative stability.
Phenolic Resins, Epoxy Resins
The butylphenols include several isomers.Solid butylphenols (28805-86-9) generally have propertiessimilar to the above:
This chemical is included in Fine Chemicals. See more about what is 4-(2-Butyl)phenol and 4-(2-Butyl)phenol SDS information.
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