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In 2023–2024, China and the United States were the leading exporters of aniline (CAS 62-53-3), accounting for a substantial share of global supply, while India, Germany, and South Korea ranked among the top importers. Aniline prices have remained sensitive to feedstock costs and regional demand from dye, rubber, and pharmaceutical sectors. Exports from China increased moderately amid expanding downstream chemical production, while U.S. exports stabilized following earlier capacity adjustments—reflecting relative continuity in major trade flows over the past two years.
Recent Market Dynamics Intelligence
1. Price Trends
- The domestic market price of aniline has shown narrow fluctuations. The mainstream market price in the East China region fluctuated between 10,500 and 10,800 RMB/ton, representing an increase of approximately 100 to 200 RMB/ton compared to the same period last week. Prices in the North China region ranged from 10,300 to 10,600 RMB/ton, showing signs of slight upward movement.
2. Supply Situation
- The production facilities of some enterprises are operating stably, with the operating rate maintained at a high level, resulting in a relatively ample overall market supply. However, some enterprises plan short-term maintenance in the near future, which is expected to impact local supply.
- Regarding imports, the volume of recently arrived cargo is limited, providing negligible supplementation to the domestic market supply.
3. Demand Situation
- Downstream industry demand varies. The rubber additive industry shows stable demand, with purchases made on an as-needed basis and no significant increase. The dye intermediate industry, affected by environmental protection factors, has seen restricted operations at some enterprises, leading to reduced demand for aniline. The pharmaceutical intermediate industry maintains a stable growth trend, providing certain support for aniline demand.
4. Cost Factors
- The price of the raw material, benzene, has fluctuated narrowly recently, providing moderate support to aniline costs. The price of nitric acid remains relatively stable, having a minor impact on aniline costs.
5. Market Sentiment
- Traders maintain a cautious attitude, primarily following market trends. Some traders have engaged in modest restocking, but overall inventory levels remain low. Production enterprises hold divergent views on the market outlook; some are optimistic and willing to hold prices, while others are concerned about increased supply leading to price declines and are actively selling goods.
Analysis and Judgment
1. Supply Side: Although overall supply is ample, planned enterprise maintenance may tighten local supply, providing some support to prices. However, the supplementation from imported cargo and the restoration of supply after maintenance end require continued attention.
2. Demand Side: Downstream industry demand is divergent. The rubber additive and pharmaceutical intermediate industries show stable demand, while the dye intermediate industry's demand has decreased. Overall, there is insufficient momentum for demand growth to strongly drive prices.
3. Cost Side: Raw material benzene prices have remained relatively stable, offering limited cost support. Consequently, it is unlikely that aniline prices will be driven upward by cost factors.
4. Market Sentiment: Both traders and production enterprises maintain a cautious attitude, with conservative market operations. Large-scale stockpiling or selling is unlikely in the short term, with market prices more influenced by supply and demand fundamentals.
Forecast
1. Short-term (1-2 weeks): Aniline market prices are expected to remain in narrow fluctuation, with a price range of 10,300 to 10,900 RMB/ton. Local prices may see slight increases due to reduced supply from enterprise maintenance, but the upward amplitude will be limited by weak demand growth.
2. Medium-term (1-2 months): If enterprise maintenance ends and supply returns to normal, and if downstream demand does not significantly improve, market prices may face downward pressure, potentially falling back to the 10,200 to 10,600 RMB/ton range. However, if raw material benzene prices rise significantly or downstream demand suddenly increases, prices may rebound.
3. Long-term (3-6 months): Market trends will depend on macroeconomic conditions, industry policies, and changes in upstream and downstream capacities. If the macroeconomy improves and downstream demand continues to grow, aniline prices are expected to gradually rise; conversely, prices may remain at relatively low levels.
Aniline is a colorless to pale yellow, oily liquid with a characteristic chloroform-like odor; it is moderately volatile, has a melting point of −6.3 °C, and a boiling point of 184 °C. It is an aromatic amine and a foundational organic chemical intermediate. Aniline is primarily used in the synthesis of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI), a key monomer for polyurethane foams, elastomers, and adhesives. It also serves as a precursor in the production of rubber processing chemicals, dyes (particularly azo dyes), and certain pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals. Its principal application areas include polymer manufacturing, coatings, and specialty chemical synthesis.
Aniline is predominantly used as a chemical intermediate for dyes, drugs, explosives, plastics, and photographic and rubber chemicals. Many chemicals can be made from Aniline, including:Isocyanaates for the urethane industryAntioxidants, activators, accelerators, and other chemicals for the rubber industryIndigo, acetoacetanilide, and other dyes and pigments for a variety of applicationsDiphenylamine for the rubber, petroleum, plastics, agricultural, explosives, and chemical industriesVarious fungacides and herbicides for the agricultural industryPharmaceutical, organic chemical, and other products
Aniline,C6H5NH2, is slightly soluble in water,miscible in alcohol and ether,and turns yellow to brown in air. Aniline may be made(1) by the reduction, with iron or tin in HCI, of nitrobenzene, and(2) by the amination of chlorobenzene by heating with ammonia to a high temperature corresponding to a pressure of over 200 atmospheres in the presence of a catalyst(a mixture of cuprous chlorideandoxide).Aniline is the end point of reduction of most mononitrogen substituted benzene nuclei,as nitro benzene beta-phenyl hydroxylamine, azoxybenzene, azobenzene, hydrazobenzene. Aniline is detected by the violet coloration produced by a small amountof sodium hypochlorite. Aniline is used as a solvent, in the preparation of compound in the manufacture of dyes and their intermediates, and in the manufacture of medicinal chemicals.
This chemical is included in Basic Chemicals - Aromatics. See more about what is Aniline and Aniline SDS information.
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